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As guest editor James Campbell explains in the first October symposium, the three-decade-old field of election forecasting has increased in sophistication and diversity. The 10 forecasts that make up Forecasting the 2008 National Elections use an assortment of models to predict the two-party popular vote in the presidential election and the overall seat changes in the congressional elections. In presidential races without an incumbent, the outcomes have historically been close, and Campbell says that this is a difficult election to predict: "President Bush’s low approval numbers indicate that many voters are not happy with the Bush administration, but those who have been added to the ranks of the dissatisfied since 2004 are not necessarily inclined to vote for the Democrats."
Guest editor Georgia Duerst-Lahti and the authors of the second symposium, Gender, Race, and the 2008 Presidential Election, use critical race and feminist theories together with empirical studies to "open the discipline to the centrality of gender and race to all political phenomena, as well as to illuminate dynamics of this election."
To expand participation in PS, we have adopted a new online commenting system in conjunction with our publisher, Cambridge University Press. Communicate with authors and other readers by logging onto your MyAPSA account choosing PS: Political Science and Politics under your Access Areas, and creating a free account with Cambridge. Then you will be able to post comments on each individual article we publish. We invite you to contribute to the debate launched by the Forecasting the 2008 National Elections symposium by posting your own models and opinions on who will win the 2008 presidential and congressional elections.
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