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Home 2012 Annual Meeting Program Browse Program | Search Program Schedule and details subject to change. Desktop version View mobile version » The 2012 APSA Annual Meeting was canceled due to Hurricane Isaac more information » Virtual and alternative presentations: In light of the conference cancellation, APSA is collecting information and adding to the online program details about efforts of 2012 panel chairs and presenters to present their panels and papers in other venues in-person and online. Where a chair or presenter has reported that they will or have presented their panel or paper in another venue, it is listed below under an ALTERNATIVE PRESENTATION INFORMATION heading. Post your virtual or alternative presentation information »   Political Forecasting Group Panel 1   Forecasting the 2012 Presidential Election Date: Saturday, Sep 1, 2012, 8:00 AM-9:45 AM   Location: Room assignments are pending. Check back soon for room assignments. Only those registered for the meeting can view room assignments. Subject to change. Check the Final Program at the conference.   ORIGINAL PROGRAM INFORMATION Chair(s): Alan I. Abramowitz Emory University, polsaa@emory.edu Author(s): Forecasting the 2012 American National Elections: The Trial-Heat Forecasts of the Presidential Vote and the Seats-in-Trouble Forecasts of Seat Change in the U.S. House  James E. Campbell SUNY, University at Buffalo, jcampbel@buffalo.edu History and Primary: The Obama Re-election  [Download Paper] Helmut Norpoth SUNY, Stony Brook University, helmut.norpoth@sunysb.edu   Michael Bednarczuk   SUNY, Stony Brook University, mebednarczuk@gmail.com Nowcasting and Forecasting the 2012 Presidential Election: A Comparison of Methods and Examining the Effect of Race  Michael S. Lewis-Beck University of Iowa, michael-lewis-beck@uiowa.edu   Charles P. Tien   CUNY-Hunter College, ctien@hunter.cuny.edu Economic Conditions versus Trial-Heat Polls as Early Election Predictors  [Download Paper] Robert S. Erikson Columbia University, rse14@columbia.edu   Christopher Wlezien   Temple University, wlezien@temple.edu The Time for Change Model and the 2012 Presidential Election  Alan I. Abramowitz Emory University, polsaa@emory.edu ALTERNATIVE PRESENTATION INFORMATION No alternative presentation information at this time.