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2012 Annual Meeting Program

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Schedule and details subject to change.
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The 2012 APSA Annual Meeting was canceled due to Hurricane Isaac more information »

Virtual and alternative presentations: In light of the conference cancellation, APSA is collecting information and adding to the online program details about efforts of 2012 panel chairs and presenters to present their panels and papers in other venues in-person and online. Where a chair or presenter has reported that they will or have presented their panel or paper in another venue, it is listed below under an ALTERNATIVE PRESENTATION INFORMATION heading.

 

Political Forecasting Group
Panel 1   Forecasting the 2012 Presidential Election

Date: Saturday, Sep 1, 2012, 8:00 AM-9:45 AM  
Location: Room assignments are pending. Check back soon for room assignments. Only those registered for the meeting can view room assignments. Subject to change. Check the Final Program at the conference.
 
ORIGINAL PROGRAM INFORMATION
Chair(s): Alan I. Abramowitz
Emory University, polsaa@emory.edu
Author(s):
Forecasting the 2012 American National Elections: The Trial-Heat Forecasts of the Presidential Vote and the Seats-in-Trouble Forecasts of Seat Change in the U.S. House 
James E. Campbell
SUNY, University at Buffalo, jcampbel@buffalo.edu
History and Primary: The Obama Re-election  [Download Paper]
Helmut Norpoth
SUNY, Stony Brook University, helmut.norpoth@sunysb.edu
  Michael Bednarczuk
  SUNY, Stony Brook University, mebednarczuk@gmail.com
Nowcasting and Forecasting the 2012 Presidential Election: A Comparison of Methods and Examining the Effect of Race 
Michael S. Lewis-Beck
University of Iowa, michael-lewis-beck@uiowa.edu
  Charles P. Tien
  CUNY-Hunter College, ctien@hunter.cuny.edu
Economic Conditions versus Trial-Heat Polls as Early Election Predictors  [Download Paper]
Robert S. Erikson
Columbia University, rse14@columbia.edu
  Christopher Wlezien
  Temple University, wlezien@temple.edu
The Time for Change Model and the 2012 Presidential Election 
Alan I. Abramowitz
Emory University, polsaa@emory.edu

ALTERNATIVE PRESENTATION INFORMATION

No alternative presentation information at this time.