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Please note: all information presented below is subject to change.

Political Forecasting Group
Panel 1   Forecasting the 2010 Midterm Elections

 

Date: Saturday, Sep 4, 2010, 4:15 PM-6:00 PM  
Location: Room assignments are pending. Please check back soon for room assignments. Only those who are preregistered for the Annual Meeting will be able to view room assignments.
Chair: James E. Campbell
SUNY, Buffalo, jcampbel@buffalo.edu

Author(s):
Using the Generic Ballot Model to Forecast the 2010 Midterm Elections
Alan I. Abramowitz
Emory University, polsaa@emory.edu

Mid-Term Redux? Re-Evaluating Congressional Election Forecasts
Michael S. Lewis-Beck
University of Iowa, michael-lewis-beck@uiowa.edu
  Charles P. Tien
  CUNY, Hunter College, ctien@hunter.cuny.edu

Will the Republicans Retake the House of Representatives in 2010?
Alfred G. Cuzan
University of West Florida, acuzan@uwf.edu
  Charles M. Bundrick
  University of West Florida, mbundric@uwf.edu

Forecasting the House of Representatives' Seat Division in the 2010 Midterm Election
Joseph Bafumi
Dartmouth College, jbafumi@gmail.com
  Robert S. Erikson
  Columbia University, rse14@columbia.edu
  Christopher Wlezien
  Temple University, wlezien@temple.edu

Forecasting Seat Change in the 2010 Midterm Elections: The Midterm Decline, the Referendum Correction, and District Competition
James E. Campbell
SUNY, Buffalo, jcampbel@buffalo.edu


Discussant(s): Gary C. Jacobson
University of California, San Diego, gjacobson@ucsd.edu