Borchert, Jens;
Stolz, Klaus
“Fighting Insecurity: Political Careers and Career Politics in the
Federal Republic of Germany”
Politische Vierteljahresschrift, 2003, 44, 2, June, 148-173.
Abstract: Political careers differ from other professional careers in
several regards, but most significantly in the peculiar degree of
insecurity they impose. This insecurity is due to the democratic
accountability to voters, which includes the possibility of electoral
defeat & deprofessionalization. Therefore a continuous career is
rendered much more difficult than in other occupations. This calls for
specific strategies of access to & staying in political positions,
which may be subsumed under the rubric of "career politics." This
article deals with political careers in the Federal Republic of Germany
& the elements of individual career politics that may be
reconstructed from these careers. The analysis is based on a dataset
comprising the political biographies of all 1948 German state
legislators with the date being taken from the official legislative
handbooks. The features that are most interesting here are the
succession & the cumulation of different political offices. Four
strategies of career politics can be distinguished: a local politics, a
party politics, an interest group, & a fourth strategy, that
proceeds via staff positions. In analyzing these strategies the article
wants to contribute to a better understanding of the relationship
between political careers & career politics. 3 Tables, 1 Figure, 2
Appendixes, 43 References. Adapted from the source document.
Bottom, Willilam P; Eavey, Cheryl L; Miller, Gary J; Victor, Jennifer
Nicoll
“The Institutional Effect on Majority Rule Instability: Bicameralism in
Spatial Policy Decisions”
American Journal of Political Science, 2000, 44, 3, July, 523-540.
Abstract: The constitutional requirement that legislation must be
approved by a majority of two chambers increases the likelihood that a
core will exist, even in situations in which a core would not exist
under a unicameral majority rule. Laboratory experiments were run on
forty six-person groups, with constant induced preferences in a
two-dimensional policy space. Groups were assigned to one of four
treatments. In three treatments, members were assigned to two
three-person chambers, & a majority of each chamber was required to
make policy decisions. In two of these treatments, the assignment
induced a bicameral core; in one it did not. The fourth, a control
treatment, was a unicameral, simple majority-rule game with no core. The
variance in each of the two cases with a bicameral core was
significantly less than in the no-core bicameral or the unicameral
treatments. In the cases with a bicameral core, the outcomes clustered
closely around the predicted core outcomes. The results provide strong
support for the stability-inducing properties of bicameralism & for
the core as a predictor of this effect. Players received statistically
greater rewards in those treatments in which their role was pivotal in
achieving the core. 4 Tables, 4 Figures, 3 Appendixes, 17 References.
Adapted from the source document.
Brabazon, Tara
“Whiteboard, Docs and a Boa: Edith Cowan and the Making of a Political
Woman”
AQ - Journal of Contemporary Analysis, 2003, 75, 4, July-Aug, 28-34.
Abstract: Reconsiders the narrative of Edith Cowan, the first
Australian woman elected into parliament in 1921, to invigorate her
portrayal in a manner that has poignancy for the current political
climate for women. It is noted that writers have focused on her
extraordinary qualities & life, ignoring the advantages not so
readily available to women today that she possessed in achieving this
position. In tracing her professional pursuits, the problematic nature
of the concomitant narrative that emerged is demonstrated, & it is
lamented that her success in public life was not emulated by others. The
demands on today's women are many, & in a context of the
tabloidization of information, it is deemed important that the
pioneering narrative of women overcoming adversity be supplemented by a
complex, plural image of women managing failure. The trouble with Edith
Cowan's narrative is that none of her suffering is reflected there. J.
Zendejas.
Carey, John M; Siavelis, Peter
“Insurance for Electoral Runners Up and the Survival of Chile's
Concertacion”
Estudios Publicos, 2003, 90, fall, 5-27.
Abstract: To secure legislative majorities under Chile's unique,
two-member district electoral system, coalitions have to put their
strongest candidates in the most precarious electoral list positions.
This generates a divergence of interests between coalitions &
politicians. Chile's largest coalition, the Concertacion, has resolved
the dilemma by providing appointed posts to candidates who accept
personal risk on the coalition's behalf & run good - but just not
good enough - campaigns for Congress. We argue that this insurance
system has provided glue critical to holding the coalition together
since Chile's transition to democracy in 1990, & we illustrate the
point with data on electoral performance & the distribution of
postelectoral appointments among losing congressional candidates. We
then show that recent changes in the electoral environment threaten the
Concertacion's control over the pool of appointed posts used to insure
such candidates against losses undertaken on behalf of the coalition.
This, in turn, undermines the Concertacion's prospects to hold together
throughout the contentious process of negotiating coalition candidate
lists for the next legislative elections, in 2005. 8 References. Adapted
from the source document.
Cunin, Elisabeth
“Ethnic Politics between Otherness and Stereotypes. Reflections on the
March 2002 Elections in Colombia.”
Analisis Politico, 2003, 48, Jan-Apr, 77-93.
Abstract: The Colombian Political Constitution of 1991 has allowed the
introduction of new multicultural policies aimed at African-Colombian
people. The creation of two seats at the Chamber of Representatives is
the clearest expression of this transition from homogeneity to
differentiation. Paradoxically, while this positive discrimination is a
political arena of identity recomposition, the stereotypes of
African-Colombian people consolidate. Based on the analysis of 2002
election in Colombia, & the introduction of an ethnic policy, this
article aims to reflect on the multiculturalism practices. 3 Tables.
Adapted from the source document.
Eaton, Kent
“The Logic of Delegating Legislative Powers: The Reform of Regional
Promotion in Argentina”
Desarrollo Economico, 2003, 42, 168, Jan-Mar, 499-518.
Abstract: This study evaluates the role played by the legislature in
one of Argentina's most important economic reforms of recent decades:
the reform of tax incentives for regional development. As implemented by
the last military government, this system of tax incentives provoked
sharp distributive conflicts among provinces. Although a majority of
legislators favored reform after the return to democracy in 1983,
interprovincial conflicts created bargaining problems that prevented the
passage of reform legislation through regular channels. Pro-reform
legislators decided instead to delegate reform authority to President
Raul Alfonsin because he shared their interest in containing the fiscal
cost of tax incentives. Subsequent uses of this delegated authority by
two presidents promoted the interests of the enacting coalition that
supported delegation. These findings sup port the usefulness of
delegation models when carefully applied to Latin America &
challenge theories that neglect the different ways that legislators
shape economic reform. 3 Charts, 34 References. Adapted from the source
document.
Fowler, B
“The Parliamentary Elections in Hungary, April 2002”
Electoral Studies, 2003, 22, 4, Dec, 799-807.
Abstract Discusses the results of the 7 & 21 Apr 2002 parliamentary
elections in Hungary, highlighting the electoral system, party system,
election campaign, & procedural issues & conflicts. 1 Table, 1
Reference.
Golosov, Grigorii V
“Electoral Systems and Party Formation in Russia. A Cross-Regional
Analysis”
Comparative Political Studies, 2003, 36, 8, Oct, 912-935.
Abstract: This article draws on a comprehensive data set from the
1993-1999 Russian regional legislative elections to estimate the
consequences of different plurality or majority rules, as well as their
combinations with proportional representation (PR), for party formation
in the country. The results of multiple regression analysis indicate
that the system of single-member plurality does not support party
formation. Mixed electoral systems involve PR support parties in two
ways: first, mechanically, by excluding independents from party list
competition, & second, as a result of contamination effects across
these systems' components. Counterintuitively, the analysis reveals that
the systems of multimember plurality & two-round majority tend to be
relatively supportive of party formation. The article explains this
phenomenon by developing a model that incorporates these systems'
ability to set lower effective thresholds & to enhance the
information value of party labels, thus facilitating the entry of party
candidates & their electoral success. 6 Tables, 1 Appendix, 43
References. [Copyright 2003 Sage Publications, Inc.].
Helland, Leif; Saglie, Jo
“Candidate Competition and Strategic Coordination: Evidence from Four
Early Norwegian Elections”
Electoral Studies, 2003, 22, 4, Dec, 581-602.
Abstract: This article investigates strategic coordination in four
elections to the Norwegian Storting (1909-1918). The elections were held
under a majority-plurality dual-ballot system, with unrestricted
participation in the second-ballot. The focus is on elections with
Conservative, Liberal, & Labour candidates as main contenders.
Supported by historical & theoretical arguments, the authors assume
universally sincere voting in the first-ballot. Given this assumption,
second-ballot elections can be analyzed as regular plurality elections.
Hypotheses about behavior are formed using the game theoretic framework
of Myerson & Weber (1993). It is found that while voters follow the
predictions of theory fairly closely, the extent of coordination present
at the candidate level can be questioned. 3 Tables, 4 Figures, 32
References. Adapted from the source document.
Hofmann, Herwig C H
“A Critical Analysis of the New Typology of Acts in the Draft Treaty
Establishing a Constitution for Europe”
European Integration - Online Papers
http://eiop.or.at/eiop/eiop1-e.htm, 2003, 7, 9, Sept 30.
Abstract: This article describes & critically analyzes the proposed
new typology of acts in the "draft treaty establishing a constitution
for Europe" & its implications for the EU legal system. It comments
on the categories of act on the three levels of constitutional law,
legislation, & implementation. It highlights the importance of the
correlation between the catalogue of fundamental rights on one hand
& the definition of legislation on the other, which will reform the
relation between legislative & executive powers in the Union. The
article also uncovers several shortcomings in the proposed typology of
acts including the problematic relation between delegated regulations
& implementing regulations as well as the lack of adjustment of the
proposed system of legal acts to the special nature of the EU. Adapted
from the source document.
Hooghe, Marc; Noppe, Jo; Maddens, Bart
“The Effect of Electoral Reform on the Belgian Election Results of 18
May 2003”
Representation, 2003, 39, 4, 270-276.
Abstract: Assesses the outcomes of the May 2003 Belgian elections in
light of electoral reforms. This is accomplished via three simulations
centered on the effect of (1) imposing a threshold, (2) larger
constituencies, & (3) the combination of the two. Analysis begins
with the assumption that voters would not have voted differently given
other election laws. Findings indicate that the electoral reforms had
almost no effect on the distribution of seats in the Chamber. It is
suggested that the minimal impact might be a result of the
counterbalancing effect that the electoral threshold had on the larger
constituencies. The simulation showing larger constituencies & no
threshold revealed no change in parliamentary representation. However,
simulating the small constituencies evidences the opposite; thus, any
effects are attributed to the threshold. The effects of reform were
likewise minimal for the Senate. It is tentatively concluded that a
second-tier distribution system will be as representative as larger
constituencies & that party elites are more adaptive to reform than
voters. 2 Tables, 1 Figure. J. Zendejas.
Horiuchi, Yusaku; Saito, Jun
“Reapportionment and Redistribution: Consequences of Electoral Reform
in Japan”
American Journal of Political Science, 2003, 47, 4, Oct, 669-682.
Abstract: Does reapportionment in a legislature affect policy outcomes?
We examine this question from a comparative perspective by focusing on
reapportionment associated with the electoral reform in Japan. First, we
show that the reform of 1994 resulted in an unprecedented degree of
equalization in legislative representation. Second, using
municipal-level data, we present evidence that municipalities in
overrepresented districts received significantly more subsidies per
capita, as compared to those in underrepresented districts, in both
pre-reform & post-reform years. Third, by examining the relationship
between the change in the number of seats per capita & the change in
the amount of subsidies per capita at the municipal level, we show that
the equalization in voting strength resulted in an equalization of
total transfers per person. 4 Tables, 1 Figure, 49 References. Adapted
from the source document.
Ilonszki, Gabriella; Kostova, Dobrinka
“Why Less Can Be More for Women in Politics. The Parliamentary
Representation of Women in Bulgaria and Hungary”
Osteuropa, 2003, 53, 5, May, 662-674.
Abstract: From the perspective of women's politics, Hungary is
considered a comparatively successful example of domestic
transformation. The Hungarian CP's successor party made it quite easy
for women to enter politics. However, a comparison with Bulgaria reveals
that there are at present more women members of parliament in the latter
country. The main reason for this is to be found in the priorities of a
new surprisingly successful conservative-traditional party (&
movement). Even the future prospects for women seem better in Hungary.
Here the image of women is less firmly rooted in the traditional
division of labor between the sexes, & a group of professional
women parliamentarians that could become the core of gender-aware
politics has managed to establish itself within the stable Hungarian
party system. In Bulgaria, on the other hand, the large number of women
parliamentarians is combined with a high turnover of individuals, so
most of them are politically inexperienced amateurs who have no power
to take decisions. 5 Tables. Adapted from the source document.
King, David C; Matland, Richard E
“Sex and the Grand Old Party: An Experimental Investigation of the
Effect of Candidate Sex on Support for a Republican Candidate”
American Politics Research, 2003, 31, 6, Nov, 595-612.
Abstract: We report the results of an experiment involving 820 randomly
sampled adults. Half heard about a female Republican candidate for
Congress. The other half learned of an otherwise identical male
candidate. Democrat & Independent voters were more likely to trust,
think qualified, view as a leader, & vote for the female Republican
(contrasted with the male Republican). On the other hand, being female
led to associations that hurt Republican women within their own party.
We augment our experimental results by providing evidence that
Republican women have done significantly worse than Democratic women in
winning nominations in open-seat congressional districts. 4 Tables, 40
References. [Copyright 2003 Sage Publications, Inc.].
Kolodny, Robin
“The US Mid-Term Elections of 2002”
Representation, 2003, 39, 4, 277-285.
Abstract: Discusses the 2002 US midterm elections. Following a
discussion of the single member plurality electoral system's laws &
regulations, particularly regarding reapportionment as a result of the
2000 Census, attention turns to the nature of competition in these
elections & the sorts of issues around which the campaigns were
based. The significance of the Republican Party gaining seats in the
House & the Senate is seen in the following: (1) They gained control
of the Senate. (2) Democratic leader, Richard Gephardt stepped down
& the first woman to assume the position, Nancy Pelosi, took over.
(3) Results challenge the conventional wisdom that the president's party
gets punished at midterm elections. Theories of midterm elections are
touched on to shed further light on the implications of this outcome. 4
Tables, 12 References. J. Zendejas.
Kraatz, Susanne; Zvinkliene, Alina
“Between Super-Presidentialism and State Feminism. Women in the
Parliaments of Russia and Lithuania”
Osteuropa, 2003, 53, 5, May, 647-661.
Abstract: It would appear at first glance that in the field of gender
politics, Lithuania, a candidate for EU membership, has a better
prospect of overcoming the joint legacy of the tsarist-Soviet eras than
Russia, an endangered democracy. Nevertheless, the representation of
women has developed in a strikingly similar way in the two cases. Both
countries have seen a new start in gender politics at the level of civil
society & of the state, but the effectiveness of this has been
limited by extensive social problems, the discrediting of feminism,
& the pressure on women members of parliament to conform. In
addition, the party systems are only weakly institutionalized & the
political spheres are becoming increasingly informalized. Short-term
improvements in the situation have in each case been connected with the
electoral success of a single party. This means that the prospects for,
& obstacles to, women's political participation are in some respects
very similar to, &, in other respects, very different from, those
that can be observed in established Western democracies. The decisive
factors are the political institutions & the context in which they
operate. 4 Tables. Adapted from the source document.
Krause, George A
“Partisan and Ideological Sources of Fiscal Deficits in the United
States”
American Journal of Political Science, 2000, 44, 3, July, 541-559.
Abstract: Past research investigating the relationship between politics
of fiscal institutions & fiscal deficits has primarily focused on
how different configurations of partisan control over the executive
& legislative branches produce distinct policy outcomes. Such models
rely on the strength of majoritarian parties in Congress & party
affiliation of president, as reflected in the theory of divided party
government. In this study, a simple, fluid unidimensional spatial
framework based on the degree of ideological fragmentation among the
President, Senate, & House is set forth to arrive at a richer
understanding of fiscal policy. It is hypothesized that US fiscal
deficits will rise as the degree of ideological fragmentation among
these institutions increases because it is more difficult to reach
compromise & reconcile conflicting preferences over fiscal policy.
Using annual data from the post-war period from 1948-1995, strong
consistent empirical support for this thesis exists across alternative
empirical specifications that reflect different pivotal House &
Senate members, institutional alignments, & measures of ideological
fragmentation. These findings indicate that the degree of ideological
policy divergence among political institutions, independent of divided
partisan control of government, plays a notable role in explaining
fiscal budget deficits in the US during the post-war period. 1 Table, 1
Figure, 1 Appendix, 69 References. Adapted from the source document.
Lee, Frances E
“Geographic Politics in the U.S. House of Representatives: Coalition
Building and Distribution of Benefits”
American Journal of Political Science, 2003, 47, 4, Oct, 714-728.
Abstract: This article argues that scholars need to consider the
structure of House representation to better understand distributive
politics. Because House districts (unlike states) are not administrative
units in the federal system, House members cannot effectively claim
credit for most grant-in-aid funds. Instead, their best credit-claiming
opportunities lie in earmarked projects, a small fraction of federal
grant dollars. As a consequence, I expect to find: (1) political factors
have a much greater effect on the distribution of earmarked projects
than on federal funds generally, & (2) project grants are a better
support-building tool for coalition leaders than allocations to states.
I test this argument with a study of the 1998 reauthorization of
surface transportation programs & find strong support for both
hypotheses. 5 Tables, 56 References. Adapted from the source document.
May, Roy; Massey, Simon
“Presidential and Legislative Elections in Chad: 2001-2002”
Electoral Studies, 2003, 22, 4, Dec, 765-772.
Abstract: Examines the results of the 20 May 2001 presidential election
& the 21 Apr 2002 legislative elections in Chad, emphasizing
political parties. 2 Tables.
Melo, Marcus Andre
“The Politics of Regulatory Action: Accountability, Credibility and
Delegation”
Revista Brasileira de Ciencias Sociais, 2001, 16, 46, June, 55-68.
Abstract: Delegation & accountability are two poles of an unsolved
tension in democratic societies. Institutions that acquire a more &
more important role in these societies, as regulatory agencies &
central banks, need a decision-making autonomy in order to enhance their
performance. However, delegation implies in a progressive democratic
deficit & insufficient accountability for the leaders. The article
discusses the question involving the tension between delegation &
accountability that underlies the creation of independent regulatory
agencies. The main arguments concerning the logic of delegation &
controlling are discussed in the article. The first one refers to the
role of Legislative's control (or the lack of) on independent agencies.
The second one refers to the delegation of autonomy to regulatory
agencies as a rational choice for rulers in a globalized economic
environment aiming to bolster credibility. Such arguments are not quite
convincing in the public debate. Therefore, it can be inferred that the
institutional framework in contemporary democracies presents a limited
capacity to promote social control & legitimacy. 4 Tables, 1 Figure,
46 References. Adapted from the source document.
Mughan, A; Bean, C; McAllister, I
“Economic Globalization, Job Insecurity and the Populist Reaction”
Electoral Studies, 2003, 22, 4, Dec, 617-633.
Abstract: A striking change in the political party systems of many
established democracies in recent years has been the rise to electoral
& political prominence of right-wing populist parties. Moving beyond
the usual anti-statism & racism attitudinal explanatory foci, this
article posits that popular support for these parties is associated with
the job insecurity that populist party leaders have attributed to
deepening international economic integration, or economic globalization.
The conceptualization of job insecurity is discussed & its expected
relationship to the mercantilism of right-wing populist parties
clarified. The hypothesis is tested in the specific context of support
for Pauline Hanson's One Nation Party in the 1998 election to the
Australian federal House of Representatives. The article concludes with
a consideration of the wider implications of its findings. 4 Tables, 35
References. Adapted from the source document.
Nureev, R
“Public Choice Theory. A Textbook. Chapter 7. Public Choice under
Representative Democracy: Government and Coalitions in Parliament”
Voprosy ekonomiki, 2003, 2, Feb, 111-132.
Abstract: The specifics of public choice under representative democracy
are considered in the seventh chapter of the textbook. The factors of
forming of coalitions in parliament are analyzed. The methods of voting
manipulation including the formulation of Arrow's impossibility theorem
are described. The concept of logrolling is distinguished. The chapter
also includes further readings, control tests, & questions. 7
Tables. Adapted from the source document.
Paden, Catherine; Page, Benjamin I
“Congress Invokes Public Opinion on Welfare Reform”
American Politics Research, 2003, 31, 6, Nov, 670-679.
Abstract: If democratically elected public officials respond to the
policy preferences of ordinary citizens, one might expect them to make
frequent, favorable references to public opinion as revealed by polls
& surveys. An analysis of the 1995 congressional debates leading up
to the passage of the Personal Responsibility & Work Opportunity
Reconciliation Act (welfare reform), however, generally corroborates the
findings of Cook, Barabas, & Page concerning policy elites'
discussions of Social Security. Congresspersons' references to public
opinion were quite infrequent & vague. In some cases, they were
significantly misleading. The implications of these findings are briefly
discussed. 1 Table, 8 References. [Copyright 2003 Sage Publications,
Inc.].
Pasquino, Gianfranco
“Varieties of Models of Parliamentary Government”
Rivista Italiana di Scienza Politica, 2003, 33, 2, Aug, 295-315.
Abstract: This article offers a brief overview of the most important
models of parliamentary government. The purpose is to explore whether
according to the Constitution as well as in practice the Prime Minister
has at his/her disposal the power to appoint & dismiss the Ministers
& the power autonomously to dissolve parliament. Taking into
consideration, among others, the cases of Germany, GB, Italy, &
Sweden, it is found that, constitutionally available or not, those
powers are actually exercised when the existing party coalitions &
political & parliamentary majorities can afford to do so. Moreover,
it is suggested that the power to dissolve Parliament is frequently
implemented in order, for instance, to impose discipline on the
parliamentarians or to prevent parliamentary turnovers, is contrary to
the institutional logic of parliamentary government. Though in some
cases unscrupulously practiced, the possibility of creating different
governmental coalitions in parliament provides for political &
institutional flexibility & prevents too frequent & potentially
very dangerous electoral consultations. The strengthening of any
parliamentary government can be obtained through intelligent
"manipulations" of the electoral system & hence a restructuring of
the party system & of the coalitional game. Exactly what still
remains be done in the Italian political system & cannot be obtained
just by strengthening the Prime Minister. 28 References. Adapted from
the source document.
Paxton, Pamela; Kunovich, Sheri
“Women's Political Representation: The Importance of Ideology”
Social Forces, 2003, 82, 1, Sept, 87-114.
Abstract: Women's low rate of participation at the highest levels of
politics is an enduring problem in gender stratification. Previous
cross-national research on women in national legislatures has stressed
three explanations for differences in women's political representation:
social structure, politics, & ideology. Despite strong theory
suggesting the importance of ideology, it has not found support in
previous cross-national statistical studies. But ideology has not been
as well measured as structural & political factors. In this article,
we demonstrate that gender ideology strongly affects the number of women
in national legislatures. We do so by introducing a newly available
measure of national gender ideology into a cross-national model of
women in legislatures. We demonstrate that ideology, when measured more
precisely, strongly predicts differences in women's political
representation. 2 Tables, 1 Figure, 2 Appendixes, 69 References.
Adapted from the source document.
Plecita-Vlachova, Klara; Stegmaier, Mary
“The Chamber of Deputies Election, Czech Republic 2002”
Electoral Studies, 2003, 22, 4, Dec, 772-778.
Abstract: Investigates the results of the 14-15 June 2002 Chamber of
Deputies election in the Czech Republic, focusing on the campaign,
movement for reform, & formation of a government. 1 Table, 5
References.
Sagas, E
“Elections in the Dominican Republic, May 2002”
Electoral Studies, 2003, 22, 4, Dec, 792-798.
Abstract: Reviews the campaign & results of the 16 May 2002
congressional & mmunicipal elections in the Dominican Republic. 1
Table, 4 References.
Schuster, Karsten; Pukelsheim, Friedrich; Drton, Mathias; Draper,
Norman R.
“Seat Biases of Apportionment Methods for Proportional Representation”
Electoral Studies, 2003, 22, 4, Dec, 651-676.
Abstract: In proportional representation systems, an important issue is
whether a given apportionment method favors larger parties at the
expense of smaller parties. For an arbitrary number of parties, ordered
from largest to smallest by their vote counts, we calculate (apparently
for the first time) the expected differences between the seat allocation
& the ideal share of seats, separately for each party, as a function
of district magnitude, with a particular emphasis on three traditional
apportionment methods. These are (1) the quota method with residual fit
by greatest remainders, associated with the names of Hamilton &
Hare, (2) the divisor method with standard rounding (Webster,
Sainte-Lague), & (3) the divisor method with rounding down
(Jefferson, Hondt). For the first two methods, the seat bias of each
party turns out to be practically zero, whence on average no party is
advantaged or disadvantaged. On the contrary, the third method exhibits
noticeable seat biases in favor of larger parties. The theoretical
findings are confirmed via empirical data from the German State of
Bavaria, the Swiss Canton Solothurn, & the US House of
Representatives. 1 Table, 10 Figures, 1 Appendix, 27 References. Adapted
from the source document.
Shipan, Charles R; Shannon, Megan L
“Delaying Justice(s): A Duration Analysis of Supreme Court
Confirmations”
American Journal of Political Science, 2003, 47, 4, Oct, 654-668.
Abstract: Presidents traditionally have had great success when
nominating justices to the Supreme Court, with confirmation being the
norm & rejection being the rare exception. While the confirmation
process usually ends with the nominee taking a seat on the Court,
however, there is a great deal of variance in the amount of time it
takes the Senate to act. To derive a theoretical explanation of this
underlying dynamic in the confirmation process, we draw on a spatial
model of presidential nominations to the Court. We then employ a hazard
model to test this explanation, using data on all Supreme Court
nominations & confirmations since the end of the Civil War. Our
primary finding is that the duration of the confirmation process
increases as the ideological distance between the president & the
Senate increases. We also find evidence that suggests that the duration
increases for critical nominees & chief justices & decreases for
older nominees, current & previous senators, & nominees with
prior experience on state & federal district courts. 3 Tables, 2
Figures, 53 References. Adapted from the source document.
Smolin, O N; Komarov, A E
“Strategies of Education: Differences in Positions of State Duma
Deputee Blocs”
Sotsiologicheskie Issledovaniya, 2003, 29, 4, 107-112.
Abstract: Ratings of support of various strategies of reform of
education in Russia by different deputies blocks in Russian State Duma
are presented for Second (1996-1999) & Third Duma (data for
2000-2001). Among the Second Duma parties & blocs most readily
supporting transformation & modernization of education are the
Communist Party of Russian Federation (with 84.3% of deputies belonging
to the party supporting education-related legislations), Agrarian
Deputies Group (73.2%), 'People's Power' group (66.4%), Liberal
Democratic Party of Russia (64.6%), 'Yabloko' (56.1%), & 'Russian
Regions' group (49.6%). Ratings of support of individual legislations
are provided. 4 Tables, 3 References. V. Oboronko.
Torre, Juan Carlos
“The Orphans of Party Politics. On the Scope and Nature of the Party
Representation Crisis”
Desarrollo Economico, 2003, 42, 168, Jan-Mar, 647-665.
Abstract: The scope & nature of abstention & rejection of the
political parties in Argentina are analyzed, citing voting trends for
presidential elections between 1983 & 1995 & legislative
elections for 1999 & 2001. Throughout the earlier period, the
concentration of votes for the two major national parties - the Partido
Justicialista & the Union Ciivica Radical - diminished, while voting
for Center-Left & Center-Right parties increased. The Peronists, who
are linked to their electorate, least felt the abstention problem in
2001. The party representation crisis in 2001 is an expression of the
breach between the democratic expectations of the citizenry & the
effective behavior of the parties, not an expression of political
apathy; this crisis is particularly acute for the independent electorate
of the center-left & center-right. 3 Tables, 1 Figure, 4 Charts, 21
References. M. Pflum.
Trystan, D; Scully, R; Jones, R Wyn
“Explaining the 'Quiet Earthquake': Voting Behaviour in the First
Election to the National Assembly for Wales”
Electoral Studies, 2003, 22, 4, Dec, 635-650.
Abstract: This paper examines voting behavior in the inaugural election
to the National Assembly for Wales (NAW), held in May 1999. We address
two questions: (1) why did the election produce a 'quiet earthquake' in
Welsh electoral politics, with the nationalist Plaid Cymru denying the
Labour party their expected majority in the Assembly? (2) What broader
lessons does this case study offer for the study of elections in the UK
under devolution? Drawing on data from the Welsh National Assembly
Election Study, we find that while some features of second-order
election theories, such as lower turnout & a lower vote share for
the governing party were manifest, contrary to the predictions of such
theories the surge in electoral support for Plaid was largely prompted
by Welsh-specific factors rather than UK-wide ones. The findings are
argued to indicate limits to the applicability of second-order
approaches to the study of devolved elections in the UK. 5 Tables, 1
Figure, 27 References. Adapted from the source document.
Ulloa, Fernando C; Carbo, Eduardo P
“The Congressional and Presidential Elections in Colombia, 2002”
Electoral Studies, 2003, 22, 4, Dec, 785-792.
Abstract: For Colombia, 2002 was a year of elections: on 10 Mar,
Colombians went to the polls to elect members of the Senate & the
House of Representatives; on 26 May they returned to elect a President.
Alvaro Uribe, a Liberal dissident heading a coalition movement - Primero
Colombia - won an outright majority in the first round. On 7 Aug, Uribe
took power, replacing Andres Pastrana, a Conservative who had
successfully led another coalition movement in the 1998 elections. In
the past, congressional & presidential elections had been somewhat
intertwined, since the parliamentary parties had a significant role in
selecting candidates & in delivering the vote to their candidates.
However, presidential elections have become increasingly independent of
congressional elections, following general crisis & fragmentation in
the party system. In 2002, the congressional contests were very
low-key, with voter attitudes characterized principally by indifference.
National attention focused instead on a presidential campaign that was
fiercely contested, amid an atmosphere of intimidation by illegal armed
groups. 2 Tables, 1 Reference. Adapted from the source document.
Van Walraven, Klaas
“The End of an Era: The Ghanaian Elections of December 2000”
Journal of Contemporary African Studies, 2002, 20, 2, July, 183-202.
Abstract: Examines the Ghanian presidential & legislative elections
of Dec 2000, which were remarkable for the dramatic defeat of the ruling
National Democratic Congress (NDC). First, the key trends in the
outcomes of the parliamentary & presidential polls are considered.
Next, some major elements of the electoral process itself are analyzed.
Third, the reasons for the NDC's losses are explored toward supporting
the claim that its defeat was sparked by multiple factors, particularly
the feeble economic conditions & the formal exit of Jerry Rawlings
as government head. Other elements were party arrogance regarding the
nominating process, flagrant NDC corruption, & more broadly,
exhaustion with the dominant class's high-handedness & complacency.
Last, the implications of the NDC's ouster are examined in terms of
multiparty politics' development in Ghana & political development on
the continent itself. 2 Tables, 25 References. K. Coddon.
Widfeldt, Anders
“The Parliamentary Election in Sweden, 2002”
Electoral Studies, 2003, 22, 4, Dec, 778-784.
Abstract: Analyzes the results of the 15 Sept 2002 parliamentary
election in Sweden, which are described as status quo. The electoral
system & campaign are also discussed. 1 Table.
Wyn Jones, Richard; Scully, Roger
“'Coming Home to Labour'? The 2003 Welsh Assembly Election”
Regional and Federal Studies, 2003, 13, 3, autumn, 125-132.
Abstract: Scrutinizes the 2003 Welsh Assembly Election in the context
of devolution. Background is provided before detailing aggregate results
providing some comments on the low voter turnout & Labour's victory.
A tentative evaluation of election outcomes is offered in terms of
perceptions, "Welshness," differential voting, & governance.
Post-devolution Wales evidences an emerging political subsystem. 1
Table, 8 References. J. Zendejas.